rcorporon
Wednesday, 15 March 2006, 11:15 pm
QUOTE(sky of mind @ Thursday, 16 March 2006, 2:09 pm) [snapback]47914[/snapback]
I think it is exceptionally likely that Iraq would be better off if we just "cut and run"
Yes, it would be ugly for a while. But I doubt it would be any worse than it already is.
I think if we leave, the reason for most of the tension leaves with us.
Then after we leave, the US should give a few extra billion to the UN,
so they can go in and try to keep the peace.
We'll have to disagree here.
If the US left now, the country would descend into absolute, sectarian chaos.
Sunni's and Shiites would slaughter each other without restraint or abandon.
The end result? One powerful man would eventually rise up and assume control of the country. He would crack down on violence in the most brutal way, and alienate and persocute other sects that weren't loyal to him.
Sound familiar?
It should, it's what the US went into Iraq to stop in the first place (along with oil).
It would be quite rich for the US to ask the UN now to go in and keep the peace.
That is what the UN was doing when it was using a policy of containment (which was working, and quite well I might add).
As much as it sucks, and as terrible a price you're going to have to pay, you'll need to stick around and rebuild what was torn down.
Iraq needs power, water, food, infrastructure, a military, a functioning gov't, schools, transportation, a workable oil refinement system, police, etc, etc.
That cannot get done with so much inter-Iraqi tension going on.
The US and the UK need to put in for the long haul and ensure that this country doesn't enter 15 years of brutal civil war.
Need historical precedent? Easy. Look at Afghanistan after the USSR "cut and run." There was civil war followed by the rise of the Taliban.
Same will happen in Iraq.