Rasmussen Reports, a fairly reliable election polling company, has Barack Obama at 37%, Hillary Clinton at 27%, and Johnny Boy Edwards at 19%. The last three polls from new hampshire that were taken before iowa had clinton ahead by between 4 and 12 points.

Link

Oddly enough, I was included in that poll. To their credit, they included all of the candidates, and it was a pretty unbiased sample of questions and choices.

I wonder about these polls, however. They can only poll people who have land lines. There is a whole generation of politically active folk who aren't being included, because they use cell phones.

It's also 4 days till the primary. Anything can happen. All of the supporters of those candidates who dropped out are up for grabs.

And no matter how some would like to deny it - NH and Iowa are very different. NH isn't full of evangelical Christians. NH does have an active libertarian population.

I just heard a report from the Secretary of State who predicts record Democratic turnout - at this point more Dems have requested absentee ballots. He expects thousands of voters to register on primary day. (NH has same day voter registration)

NH has a PRIMARY. We do not stand in corners and horse trade our votes. We vote on secret paper ballots.

Richardson will do much better in NH than he did in Iowa. So will Kucinich, obviously.

Huckabee won't do as well. Ron Paul may do better in NH than he did in Iowa. In fact, I'd bet he'll do better here than he does anywhere else in the country.

Anything can happen here.