happymisanthropy
Tuesday, 11 September 2007, 12:08 am
QUOTE(Jack @ Monday, 10 September 2007, 2:16 pm)

Petreaus says that the number of u.s. troops in iraq should be cut by 30,000 over the next year. Of course with a decrease in troops will come an increase in violence (at least in the areas where u.s. troops are now). I think what they are going to do is cut the number of u.s. troops, let the violence increase, and then say "violence was down with the surge and up when we pulled our forces back, we need to do the surge again". That way they can draw the surge strategy out by doing it in a stop and go fashion.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070910/ts_nm/iraq_dcNo, I don't so. 160k until April. Draw down 30k over the next three months will mean 130k in July. Violence (or US deaths, at least) always goes down in summer, so they can draw down to about 100k and reduce patrols and footprint size in time to cut down American casualties before the election. Then they're hoping for a Republican win who can ramp it back up -- or, if it's a Democrat, they can blame them for losing Iraq.
Remember how the Fallujah assault was delayed until after the 2004 election? Expect that on a big scale.